Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.253310 0.346550 0.450434 0.572549 0.710208 0.858908 1.030105
2025-07-13 0.143791 0.265237 0.418679 0.615675 0.853050 1.122852 1.446459
2025-07-20 0.092290 0.222168 0.403383 0.650164 0.959602 1.321285 1.764362
2025-07-27 0.066493 0.204863 0.414544 0.712706 1.096823 1.553987 2.121464
2025-08-03 0.044012 0.182696 0.412431 0.752994 1.202627 1.746273 2.428702
2025-08-10 0.022753 0.150409 0.388522 0.759104 1.261709 1.879621 2.664288
2025-08-17 0.005067 0.104208 0.331989 0.712335 1.247037 1.918540 2.783565
2025-08-24 NaN 0.065926 0.276700 0.659297 1.218273 1.935623 2.872852
2025-08-31 NaN 0.045381 0.247373 0.640889 1.233058 2.005148 3.024098
2025-09-07 NaN 0.034719 0.235549 0.648293 1.282385 2.118054 3.228307
2025-09-14 NaN 0.023507 0.216769 0.641543 1.310077 2.201916 3.395653
2025-09-21 NaN 0.013404 0.193503 0.623849 1.320067 2.261360 3.531481
2025-09-28 NaN 0.011472 0.198868 0.660175 1.413373 2.436156 3.819814
2025-10-05 NaN 0.010477 0.207914 0.704013 1.519023 2.628950 4.133067
2025-10-12 NaN 0.009033 0.213894 0.741718 1.615233 2.808909 4.429774
2025-10-19 NaN 0.010519 0.234929 0.808462 1.755400 3.048000 4.802072
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009665 0.243632 0.851543 1.860034 3.239699 5.114347
2025-11-02 NaN 0.005963 0.233761 0.858046 1.909153 3.356901 5.331848
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000967 0.197211 0.808110 1.870338 3.354480 5.395777
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.160510 0.751352 1.817435 3.330580 5.430267
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.142579 0.731621 1.820666 3.381884 5.560244
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.137098 0.739560 1.867844 3.493659 5.768544
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.125883 0.732322 1.889764 3.570020 5.930562